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A Structural Model of Default Risk

Jason C Hsu, Jesús Saá-Requejo and Pedro Santa-Clara
The Journal of Fixed Income Winter 2010, 19 (3) 77-94; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3905/JFI.2010.19.3.077
Jason C Hsu
is chief investment officer at Research Affiliates, LLC in Newport Beach, CA, and is a professor at the Anderson Graduate School of Management at UCLA in Los Angeles, CA.
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  • For correspondence: hsu@rallc.com
Jesús Saá-Requejo
is a partner at Vega Asset Management in Madrid, Spain.
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  • For correspondence: jsaarequejo@bloomberg.net
Pedro Santa-Clara
is Millennium bcp professor of finance at Universidade Nova de Lisboa in Lisboa, Portugal and is a partner at Atrium Investimentos in Lisboa, Portugal.
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  • For correspondence: psc@fe.unl.pt
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Abstract

The authors price corporate debt from a structural model of firm default. They assume that the capital market brings about efficient firm default when the continuation value of the firm falls below the value it would have after bankruptcy restructuring. This characterization of default makes the model more tractable and parsimonious than the existing structural models. The model can be applied in conjunction with a broad range of default-free interest rate models to price corporate bonds. Closed-form corporate bond prices are derived for various parametric examples. The term structures of yield spreads and durations predicted by this model are consistent with the empirical literature. The authors illustrate the empirical performance of the model by pricing selected corporate bonds with varied credit ratings.

TOPICS: Fixed-income portfolio management, statistical methods, accounting and ratio analysis

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The Journal of Fixed Income
Vol. 19, Issue 3
Winter 2010
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A Structural Model of Default Risk
Jason C Hsu, Jesús Saá-Requejo, Pedro Santa-Clara
The Journal of Fixed Income Dec 2009, 19 (3) 77-94; DOI: 10.3905/JFI.2010.19.3.077

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A Structural Model of Default Risk
Jason C Hsu, Jesús Saá-Requejo, Pedro Santa-Clara
The Journal of Fixed Income Dec 2009, 19 (3) 77-94; DOI: 10.3905/JFI.2010.19.3.077
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  • Article
    • Abstract
    • THE VALUATION FRAMEWORK
    • VALUATION OF CORPORATE DEBT SECURITIES
    • THE TERM STRUCTURE OF YIELD SPREADS AND DURATION
    • EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
    • CONCLUSION
    • APPENDIX A
    • ENDNOTES
    • REFERENCES
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