RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Beyond Carry and Momentum in Government Bonds JF The Journal of Fixed Income FD Institutional Investor Journals SP jfi.2020.1.085 DO 10.3905/jfi.2020.1.085 A1 Jérôme Gava A1 William Lefebvre A1 Julien Turc YR 2020 UL https://pm-research.com/content/early/2020/01/24/jfi.2020.1.085.abstract AB This article revisits recent literature on factor investing in government bonds, in particular regarding the definition of value and defensive investing. Using techniques derived from machine learning, the authors identify the key drivers of government bond futures and the groups of factors that are most genuinely relevant. Beyond carry and momentum, they propose an approach to defensive investing that considers the safe-haven nature of government bonds. These two main styles may be complemented by value and a reversal factor in order to achieve returns independently from broad movements in interest rates.TOPICS: Analysis of individual factors/risk premia, factor-based models, style investing, fixed income and structured finance, big data/machine learningKey Findings• This article revisits recent literature on factor investing in government bonds, in particular regarding the definition of value and defensive investing.• Using techniques derived from machine learning, the authors identify the key drivers of government bond futures and the groups of factors that are most genuinely relevant.• Beyond carry and momentum, they propose an approach to defensive investing that considers the safe-haven nature of government bonds.