User profiles for Johan Duyvesteyn

Johan Duyvesteyn

Senior Quantitative Researcher at Robeco Quantitative Strategies
Verified email at robeco.com
Cited by 139

Political risk and expected government bond returns

J Duyvesteyn, M Martens, P Verwijmeren - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2016 - Elsevier
Political risk relates to both the ability and the willingness of governments to repay debts.
We find that bond prices only slowly adapt to changes in political risk. The expected bond …

Carry investing on the yield curve

M Martens, P Beekhuizen, J Duyvesteyn… - Financial Analysts …, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
Bond carry is the expected return on a bond when the yield curve does not change. The
curve carry strategy within each country constructs buckets based on bond maturities on a …

Emerging government bond market timing

JG Duyvesteyn, M Martens - Journal of Fixed Income, 2014 - papers.ssrn.com
Excess bond returns in developed markets are predictable using factors like bond momentum,
equity momentum and term spread. We show the same factors can also predict emerging …

Riding the swaption curve

J Duyvesteyn, G de Zwart - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2015 - Elsevier
We conduct an empirical analysis of the term structure in the volatility risk premium in the fixed
income market by constructing long-short combinations of two at-the-money straddles for …

Forecasting sovereign default risk with Merton's model

JG Duyvesteyn, M Martens - Journal of Fixed Income, 2015 - papers.ssrn.com
Merton's structural model for sovereigns is proven to be useful to analyze the default risk of
a country. We are the first to investigate how fast CDS spreads react to changes in model …

Forecasting bond returns using jumps in intraday prices

JG Duyvesteyn, M Martens, S Safavi Nic - Journal of Fixed Income, 2011 - papers.ssrn.com
We build on the work of Wright and Zhou (2009) who show that the average jump mean in
bond prices can predict excess bond returns, capturing the countercyclical behaviour of risk …

[BOOK][B] Empirical Studies on Sovereign Fixed Income Markets

JG Duyvesteyn - 2015 - repub.eur.nl
This dissertation presents evidence of five studies showing that sovereign fixed income
markets are not always price efficient. The emerging local currency debt market has grown to a …

[PDF][PDF] Forecasting Bond Returns Using Jumps in Intraday Prices

SS Nic, S Robeco, J Duyvesteyn, CFADIM Martens - arno.uvt.nl
With writing this Master thesis comes an end to my life as a lazy student. At the same time it
marks the start of a new life. Studying has been sometimes exiting and enlightening, …

Working paper version of

M Martens, P Beekhuizen, JG Duyvesteyn… - … , P., Duyvesteyn, J …, 2019 - papers.ssrn.com
We investigate two yield curve strategies: Curve carry selects bond maturities based on
carry and betting-against-beta always selects the shortest maturities. We investigate these …

[PDF][PDF] Emerging Sovereign Quant Strategy

E Hazeveld - vu-business-analytics.github.io
… Second, I want to thank Johan Duyvesteyn and Martin Martens for the opportunity that they
… I think that I could not have wished for a better coach than Johan. Finally, I want to thank my …