User profiles for M. Prokopczuk

Marcel Prokopczuk

Leibniz University Hannover
Verified email at fmt.uni-hannover.de
Cited by 2660

The case of negative day-ahead electricity prices

E Fanone, A Gamba, M Prokopczuk - Energy Economics, 2013 - Elsevier
m of our data set by:(17) s m t = 1 w ∑ j = 1 w S m , j t , where w is the number of weeks within
month m and S m… ,.., 168, is the price vector, of length 168, observed for week j of month m. …

Historical antisemitism, ethnic specialization, and financial development

…, M Prokopczuk, M Weber - The Review of Economic …, 2019 - academic.oup.com
Historically, European Jews have specialized in financial services while being the victims of
antisemitism. We find that the present-day demand for finance is lower in German counties …

The dynamics of commodity prices

C Brooks, M Prokopczuk - Quantitative Finance, 2013 - Taylor & Francis
In this paper we study the stochastic behavior of the prices and volatilities of a sample of six
of the most important commodity markets and we compare these properties with those of the …

Do jumps matter for volatility forecasting? Evidence from energy markets

M Prokopczuk, L Symeonidis… - Journal of Futures …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
This paper characterizes the dynamics of jumps and analyzes their importance for volatility
forecasting. Using high‐frequency data on four prominent energy markets, we perform a …

Futures basis, inventory and commodity price volatility: An empirical analysis

L Symeonidis, M Prokopczuk, C Brooks, E Lazar - Economic Modelling, 2012 - Elsevier
We employ a large dataset of physical inventory data on 21 different commodities for the period
1993–2011 to empirically analyze the behavior of commodity prices and their volatility as …

Seasonality and the valuation of commodity options

J Back, M Prokopczuk, M Rudolf - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2013 - Elsevier
Price movements in many commodity markets exhibit significant seasonal patterns. However,
given an observed futures price, a deterministic seasonal component at the price level is …

The economic drivers of commodity market volatility

M Prokopczuk, A Stancu, L Symeonidis - Journal of International Money …, 2019 - Elsevier
We analyze the relationship between economic uncertainty and commodity market volatility.
We find that commodity market volatility comoves strongly with economic and financial …

Prediction of extreme price occurrences in the German day-ahead electricity market

…, HH Kamperud, F Paraschiv, M Prokopczuk… - Quantitative …, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
Understanding the mechanisms that drive extreme negative and positive prices in day-ahead
electricity prices is crucial for managing risk and market design. In this paper, we consider …

Variance risk in commodity markets

M Prokopczuk, L Symeonidis, CW Simen - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2017 - Elsevier
We analyze the variance risk of commodity markets. We construct synthetic variance swaps
and find significantly negative realized variance swap payoffs in most markets. We find …

Seasonal stochastic volatility: Implications for the pricing of commodity options

…, J Back, M Prokopczuk, R Paschke, M Rudolf - Journal of Banking & …, 2016 - Elsevier
… relative performance of the SSV Model could potentially be downward biased and it will be
interesting to see how the SSV Model performs in comparison to the SV Model in our study. …